Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 81.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 65.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Johansen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Johansen
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
49.1% (847)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
79.5% (44)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
39.5% (81)
+12.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gourde
Home
60.3% (436)
50.1% (491)
Away
58.0% (412)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Johansen
Gourde
P1
61.3%
54.7%
P2
60.4%
45.0%
P3
56.0%
49.4%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |