Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Gourde 49.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Johansen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Johansen
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Johansen
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
49.1% (731)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
54.3% (81)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
48.2% (85)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Johansen shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gourde
Home
54.7% (655)
50.9% (479)
Away
50.6% (658)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Johansen
Gourde
P1
52.2%
51.2%
P2
50.7%
49.8%
P3
54.8%
47.5%
OT
53.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |