Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs McLeod 49.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 60.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Hayton
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Hayton
McLeod
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
6
7
Hayton
McLeod
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
6
Hayton
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
50.4% (3,345)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
51.0% (292)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
44.3% (635)
+0.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Hayton
McLeod
Home
52.9% (2,268)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Hayton
McLeod
P1
52.0%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
48.4%
P3
49.9%
50.0%
OT
58.1%
37.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |