Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs McLeod 47.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 55.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Howden
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Howden
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
49.2% (796)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
44.8% (87)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
43.3% (263)
+5.0%
On power play, Howden has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Howden
McLeod
Home
47.7% (195)
49.2% (575)
Away
52.8% (233)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Howden
McLeod
P1
51.1%
52.8%
P2
52.6%
45.1%
P3
48.8%
45.6%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |