Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs McLeod 48.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 54.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Howden
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Howden
McLeod
Last 9: Howden 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Howden
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Howden
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
49.0% (500)
+4.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
43.8% (48)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
44.0% (50)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Howden
McLeod
Home
55.2% (96)
50.9% (291)
Away
48.9% (131)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Howden
McLeod
P1
42.0%
44.3%
P2
55.8%
52.4%
P3
55.6%
47.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |