Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs McLeod 52.1% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 94.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 73.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 87.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Hughes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Hughes
McLeod
Last 9: Hughes 1-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
6
Hughes
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Hughes
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
52.9% (904)
-15.0%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
57.6% (59)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
49.0% (241)
-12.6%
On power play, McLeod has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Hughes
McLeod
Home
36.6% (314)
51.8% (612)
Away
38.5% (353)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Hughes
McLeod
P1
36.4%
55.4%
P2
35.6%
50.8%
P3
41.8%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |