Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan McLeod
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs McLeod 47.5% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 89.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 93.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Pageau
McLeod
Last 6: Pageau 6-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (676)
48.9% (784)
+10.6%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
44.0% (84)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
43.5% (260)
+16.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
58.2% (364)
49.2% (575)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.2% (553)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
54.4%
52.6%
P2
62.3%
44.7%
P3
62.0%
45.3%
OT
75.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
63.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▼
59.5%
59.9%
McLeod
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |