Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.6% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 77.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 50.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 61.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
McLeod
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
McLeod
Lafferty
Last 10: McLeod 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
0
McLeod
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Lafferty
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McLeod
Lafferty
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,345)
48.0% (1,413)
+2.4%
Power Play
51.0% (292)
45.7% (46)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (635)
43.5% (184)
+0.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
McLeod shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lafferty
Home
50.2% (2,158)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
47.5% (810)
By Period
McLeod
Lafferty
P1
50.8%
49.4%
P2
48.4%
43.1%
P3
50.0%
49.8%
OT
37.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |