Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 55.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 72.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
McLeod
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
52.4% (42)
-3.2%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
McLeod shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lafferty
Home
49.2% (575)
47.8% (23)
Away
45.9% (571)
57.9% (19)
By Period
McLeod
Lafferty
P1
52.8%
53.3%
P2
45.1%
55.6%
P3
45.6%
47.1%
OT
35.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%