Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 79.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 56.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
McLeod
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McLeod
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
52.2% (366)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
60.0% (15)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
46.2% (104)
-2.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
McLeod shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lafferty
Home
50.9% (291)
53.1% (258)
Away
45.6% (307)
48.9% (227)
By Period
McLeod
Lafferty
P1
44.3%
52.5%
P2
52.4%
49.7%
P3
47.8%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |