Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 75.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 75.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
McLeod
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McLeod
Lafferty
Last 10: McLeod 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Lafferty
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
42.6% (324)
+8.7%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
31.3% (16)
+37.0%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
43.8% (16)
-13.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McLeod shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lafferty
Home
51.5% (394)
40.9% (181)
Away
50.0% (324)
43.4% (175)
By Period
McLeod
Lafferty
P1
51.5%
42.2%
P2
47.0%
36.4%
P3
54.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |