Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.7% vs Monahan 52.8% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 73.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 76.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 74.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
McLeod
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
McLeod
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
McLeod
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
McLeod
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
51.5% (641)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
62.8% (129)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
33.3% (9)
+2.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
McLeod shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
McLeod
Monahan
Home
46.6% (253)
53.9% (362)
Away
47.8% (272)
52.5% (417)
By Period
McLeod
Monahan
P1
43.9%
48.0%
P2
45.9%
57.0%
P3
52.1%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |