Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 72.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
McLeod
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McLeod
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
53.2% (823)
-4.0%
Power Play
44.8% (87)
55.3% (159)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (263)
48.4% (95)
-5.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
McLeod shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
McLeod
Monahan
Home
49.2% (575)
54.6% (529)
Away
45.9% (571)
51.6% (548)
By Period
McLeod
Monahan
P1
52.8%
49.0%
P2
45.1%
55.4%
P3
45.6%
53.6%
OT
35.7%
61.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |