Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.6% vs Monahan 51.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 83.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 65.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
McLeod
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
McLeod
Monahan
Last 10: McLeod 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
8
McLeod
Monahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
McLeod
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
McLeod
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,345)
51.1% (11,356)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.0% (292)
53.7% (2,580)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (635)
46.0% (766)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
McLeod shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
McLeod
Monahan
Home
50.2% (2,158)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
McLeod
Monahan
P1
50.8%
50.9%
P2
48.4%
51.7%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
OT
37.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |