Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McLeod
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
55.0% (713)
-6.0%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
56.7% (104)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
47.2% (53)
-3.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
McLeod shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
McLeod
Seguin
Home
50.9% (291)
56.2% (443)
Away
45.6% (307)
53.2% (427)
By Period
McLeod
Seguin
P1
44.3%
54.2%
P2
52.4%
52.9%
P3
47.8%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%