Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
McLeod
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
53.2% (201)
-4.0%
Power Play
44.8% (87)
60.0% (25)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (263)
44.4% (9)
-1.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
McLeod shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
McLeod
Seguin
Home
49.2% (575)
56.3% (126)
Away
45.9% (571)
50.5% (109)
By Period
McLeod
Seguin
P1
52.8%
44.3%
P2
45.1%
52.1%
P3
45.6%
62.5%
OT
35.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%