Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 69.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
McLeod
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McLeod
Seguin
Last 7: McLeod 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
56.9% (478)
-5.6%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
57.4% (54)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
51.3% (76)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McLeod shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
McLeod
Seguin
Home
51.5% (394)
57.4% (317)
Away
50.0% (324)
55.0% (291)
By Period
McLeod
Seguin
P1
51.5%
50.3%
P2
47.0%
60.4%
P3
54.3%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |