Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.5% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 87.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 59.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 72.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
McLeod
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McLeod
Trocheck
Last 6: McLeod 4-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (784)
57.7% (608)
-8.8%
Power Play
44.0% (84)
64.0% (150)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (260)
44.1% (136)
-0.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
McLeod shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
McLeod
Trocheck
Home
49.2% (575)
54.4% (366)
Away
45.2% (553)
58.3% (528)
By Period
McLeod
Trocheck
P1
52.6%
56.0%
P2
44.7%
58.6%
P3
45.3%
55.3%
OT
38.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.3%
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |