Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 85.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 72.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
McLeod
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McLeod
Trocheck
Last 6: McLeod 4-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
57.8% (626)
-8.6%
Power Play
44.8% (87)
63.6% (151)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (263)
44.0% (141)
-0.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
McLeod shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
McLeod
Trocheck
Home
49.2% (575)
54.4% (390)
Away
45.9% (571)
58.3% (528)
By Period
McLeod
Trocheck
P1
52.8%
56.4%
P2
45.1%
58.7%
P3
45.6%
54.8%
OT
35.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |