Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 67.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
McLeod
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McLeod
Trocheck
Last 7: McLeod 3-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
McLeod
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
McLeod
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
57.6% (1,061)
-6.3%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
65.1% (338)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
49.5% (101)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McLeod shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
McLeod
Trocheck
Home
51.5% (394)
61.8% (735)
Away
50.0% (324)
55.8% (765)
By Period
McLeod
Trocheck
P1
51.5%
57.7%
P2
47.0%
57.9%
P3
54.3%
60.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |