Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 65.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 68.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
McLeod
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McLeod
Trocheck
Last 6: McLeod 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
McLeod
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
McLeod
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
55.0% (956)
-6.0%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
59.8% (266)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
56.3% (64)
-12.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
McLeod shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
McLeod
Trocheck
Home
50.9% (291)
57.7% (673)
Away
45.6% (307)
54.3% (613)
By Period
McLeod
Trocheck
P1
44.3%
55.4%
P2
52.4%
55.6%
P3
47.8%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |