Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 60.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
McLeod
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
McLeod
Gourde
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
1
McLeod
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
5
McLeod
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
4
McLeod
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
47.2% (654)
+2.0%
Power Play
44.8% (87)
45.0% (20)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (263)
32.2% (87)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
McLeod shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
McLeod
Gourde
Home
49.2% (575)
44.1% (322)
Away
45.9% (571)
46.5% (439)
By Period
McLeod
Gourde
P1
52.8%
42.4%
P2
45.1%
49.8%
P3
45.6%
44.3%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |