Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 52.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 51.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
McLeod
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McLeod
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
McLeod
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (904)
51.2% (469)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.6% (59)
42.9% (21)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (241)
37.5% (48)
+11.5%
On power play, McLeod has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
McLeod shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
McLeod
Gourde
Home
51.8% (612)
47.8% (301)
Away
52.9% (592)
51.9% (237)
By Period
McLeod
Gourde
P1
55.4%
47.3%
P2
50.8%
53.4%
P3
51.6%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |