Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Gourde 48.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 72.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 62.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
McLeod
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McLeod
Gourde
Last 7: McLeod 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
48.0% (914)
+3.3%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
54.2% (48)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
43.9% (123)
-13.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
McLeod shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
McLeod
Gourde
Home
51.5% (394)
50.2% (512)
Away
50.0% (324)
45.7% (573)
By Period
McLeod
Gourde
P1
51.5%
50.0%
P2
47.0%
45.3%
P3
54.3%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |