Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 53.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McLeod
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McLeod
Gourde
Last 7: McLeod 3-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
McLeod
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
49.1% (847)
-0.1%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
79.5% (44)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
39.5% (81)
+4.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
McLeod shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
McLeod
Gourde
Home
50.9% (291)
50.1% (491)
Away
45.6% (307)
49.3% (481)
By Period
McLeod
Gourde
P1
44.3%
54.7%
P2
52.4%
45.0%
P3
47.8%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |