Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 51.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
1
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
48.3% (633)
+2.9%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
64.6% (48)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
43.0% (86)
+9.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Dvorak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.9% (523)
52.0% (419)
Away
49.2% (616)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.7%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
45.9%
P3
46.7%
48.1%
OT
83.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |