Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 79.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Dvorak 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (203)
46.5% (690)
+10.2%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
41.7% (12)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
38.4% (138)
-38.4%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dvorak is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Dvorak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.5% (138)
47.7% (405)
Away
53.4% (88)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.5%
49.4%
P2
57.6%
43.0%
P3
52.1%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |