Jason Dickinson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Dickinson 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (398)
46.5% (690)
-2.0%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
41.7% (12)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (62)
38.4% (138)
-2.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dickinson is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Dickinson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.2% (221)
47.7% (405)
Away
40.7% (248)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.1%
49.4%
P2
40.0%
43.0%
P3
44.7%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |