Josh Norris vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 62.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 63.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 66.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Norris 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
3
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
4
1
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (635)
46.7% (137)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
39.1% (23)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Norris is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Norris shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.7% (366)
53.9% (89)
Away
52.0% (358)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.4%
50.9%
P2
53.9%
36.7%
P3
52.2%
48.2%
Final 5 min
56.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |