Mathew Barzal vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Barzal wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 80.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 81.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 82.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Barzal 1-9 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
3
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
6
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
48.3% (633)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
64.6% (48)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.0% (86)
+57.0%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Barzal shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.3% (436)
52.0% (419)
Away
40.7% (398)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
39.7%
51.5%
P2
44.3%
45.9%
P3
44.2%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |