Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tommy Novak
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Novak 45.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
42.9% (198)
+7.4%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
40.9% (22)
+9.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Home
48.9% (270)
40.9% (110)
Away
48.1% (287)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
P1
48.7%
39.1%
P2
50.0%
43.9%
P3
47.3%
44.9%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |