Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tommy Novak
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.0% vs Novak 44.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (185)
41.7% (206)
+6.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
52.6% (19)
+47.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Home
49.2% (128)
44.9% (118)
Away
43.4% (76)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
P1
51.4%
41.5%
P2
41.9%
44.0%
P3
49.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.1%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |