Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Seguin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
53.2% (201)
-5.6%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
60.0% (25)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Home
51.2% (164)
56.3% (126)
Away
43.0% (100)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
P1
50.0%
44.3%
P2
46.2%
52.1%
P3
49.5%
62.5%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |