Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Seguin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% vs Seguin 52.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (189)
53.2% (201)
-5.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
60.0% (25)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
44.4% (9)
-15.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Home
48.5% (132)
56.3% (126)
Away
43.4% (76)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
P1
51.4%
44.3%
P2
41.3%
52.1%
P3
48.5%
62.5%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |