Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Seguin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Seguin 54.2% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
55.0% (713)
-9.6%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
56.7% (104)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
47.2% (53)
-2.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Home
46.1% (336)
56.2% (443)
Away
44.2% (346)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
P1
49.1%
54.2%
P2
45.3%
52.9%
P3
42.0%
57.1%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |