Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Seguin
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
56.9% (478)
-5.9%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
57.4% (54)
-57.4%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
51.3% (76)
-15.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Home
50.8% (258)
57.4% (317)
Away
44.9% (234)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
P1
51.6%
50.3%
P2
45.2%
60.4%
P3
47.6%
58.0%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |