Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Seguin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 40-36 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
40
(76 meetings)
36
40
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
8
12
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
15
10
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
13
18
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
53.7% (8,071)
-8.8%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
55.9% (810)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
49.3% (762)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Home
46.5% (5,350)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
P1
45.1%
52.8%
P2
43.9%
53.3%
P3
45.3%
54.7%
OT
43.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
43.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |