Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Seguin
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% vs Seguin 53.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 84.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 66.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 6-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (1,117)
53.9% (482)
-9.6%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
35.3% (17)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
75.0% (12)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Home
47.6% (655)
58.9% (231)
Away
43.9% (701)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
P1
43.9%
51.5%
P2
46.8%
48.5%
P3
47.0%
61.7%
OT
35.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |