Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs O'Reilly 54.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 59.7%
Defensive zone
Raty 91.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 75.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Raty
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Raty
O'Reilly
Last 10: Raty 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Raty
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
5
0
Raty
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
55.3% (815)
+5.2%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
58.0% (219)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
49.2% (124)
+14.6%
On power play, Raty has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Raty
O'Reilly
Home
61.4% (332)
55.8% (579)
Away
61.5% (260)
54.6% (579)
By Period
Raty
O'Reilly
P1
56.6%
57.5%
P2
67.4%
54.7%
P3
59.6%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 02:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |