Alexander Kerfoot vs Ryan O'Reilly
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 56.9%). Kerfoot wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 55.0% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 55.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.2%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 52.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
Last 5: Kerfoot 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (457)
57.1% (1,367)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
59.4% (286)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
52.5% (257)
-52.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kerfoot is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Kerfoot shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
Home
60.8% (237)
59.2% (936)
Away
51.6% (252)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
P1
56.8%
57.3%
P2
50.9%
57.5%
P3
60.0%
55.0%
OT
100.0%
71.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
56.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |