Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 76.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 78.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 82.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Coyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Coyle
O'Reilly
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
52.7% (900)
-6.1%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
55.6% (225)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
54.5% (209)
+35.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Reilly
Home
50.4% (367)
55.1% (693)
Away
42.5% (351)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Coyle
O'Reilly
P1
46.8%
51.5%
P2
47.9%
54.7%
P3
45.9%
52.7%
OT
14.3%
69.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.5%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |