Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 85.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Coyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
21
(29 meetings)
8
21
Coyle
O'Reilly
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
13
Coyle
O'Reilly
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
2
Coyle
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Coyle
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
55.0% (1,084)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
56.8% (303)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
40.3% (149)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Reilly
Home
54.5% (719)
54.8% (759)
Away
48.8% (758)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Coyle
O'Reilly
P1
51.1%
55.3%
P2
50.0%
51.9%
P3
53.3%
54.2%
OT
57.1%
64.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |