Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Sissons wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.3% vs O'Reilly 54.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 72.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Sissons
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Sissons
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Sissons
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Sissons
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
55.3% (815)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
58.0% (219)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (115)
49.2% (124)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sissons is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Sissons shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Sissons
O'Reilly
Home
52.9% (263)
55.8% (579)
Away
59.3% (297)
54.6% (579)
By Period
Sissons
O'Reilly
P1
55.8%
57.5%
P2
57.6%
54.7%
P3
55.4%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▲
58.5%
56.3%
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |