Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 51.1% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 84.8%
Neutral zone
Sissons 61.9%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Sissons
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Sissons
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sissons 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
9
Sissons
O'Reilly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
4
0
Sissons
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Sissons
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (409)
57.3% (1,073)
-5.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
58.5% (258)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
50.7% (225)
-2.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sissons is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Sissons shoots right. O'Reilly is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Sissons
O'Reilly
Home
52.2% (289)
59.2% (765)
Away
50.2% (263)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Sissons
O'Reilly
P1
48.1%
55.6%
P2
50.2%
61.0%
P3
56.3%
52.3%
OT
20.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
51.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |