Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 88.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Last 6: Kuznetsov 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
56.1% (690)
-8.4%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
64.6% (96)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
45.9% (109)
-6.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Home
45.9% (534)
58.3% (408)
Away
49.2% (535)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
P1
44.8%
57.7%
P2
52.1%
54.8%
P3
44.5%
55.2%
OT
75.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |