Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 87.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 78.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 78.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Ek
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Ek
O'Reilly
Last 10: Ek 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Ek
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Ek
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Ek
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
56.2% (983)
-8.6%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
55.5% (254)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
52.0% (102)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Ek
O'Reilly
Home
49.2% (331)
56.2% (697)
Away
45.7% (536)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Ek
O'Reilly
P1
38.7%
54.5%
P2
52.9%
55.5%
P3
48.8%
57.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |