Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Cooley wins 36.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 39.5% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 82.9%
Defensive zone
Cooley 85.2%
Neutral zone
Cooley 88.3%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Cooley
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Cooley
O'Reilly
Last 7: Cooley 0-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Cooley
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (634)
55.0% (1,084)
-17.0%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
56.8% (303)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
40.3% (149)
-16.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cooley is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Cooley shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Cooley
O'Reilly
Home
37.7% (332)
54.8% (759)
Away
38.4% (357)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Cooley
O'Reilly
P1
39.1%
55.3%
P2
37.8%
51.9%
P3
36.2%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
33.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
38.0%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |