Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Cooley wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 18-4 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 89.5%
Defensive zone
Cooley 91.8%
Neutral zone
Cooley 96.0%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Cooley
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
18
(22 meetings)
4
18
Cooley
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cooley 0-10 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
11
Cooley
O'Reilly
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Cooley
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Cooley
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (1,520)
56.2% (15,103)
-15.1%
Power Play
44.7% (208)
58.7% (3,395)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
51.6% (2,769)
-9.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cooley is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,116).
Cooley shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,728).
Home / Away
Cooley
O'Reilly
Home
41.9% (883)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
41.1% (888)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Cooley
O'Reilly
P1
41.3%
55.5%
P2
43.1%
57.0%
P3
39.5%
55.2%
OT
100.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
37.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |