Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.0% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 77.1%
Defensive zone
Amadio 73.7%
Neutral zone
Amadio 72.9%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Amadio
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Amadio
O'Reilly
Last 9: Amadio 2-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Amadio
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Amadio
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (180)
58.6% (841)
-7.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
59.9% (207)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
58.1% (148)
-58.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Amadio is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Amadio shoots right. O'Reilly is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Amadio
O'Reilly
Home
41.4% (58)
59.8% (594)
Away
53.8% (130)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Amadio
O'Reilly
P1
53.6%
61.7%
P2
38.8%
56.2%
P3
59.6%
59.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |