Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 76.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 76.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Backlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Backlund
O'Reilly
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Backlund
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
6
Backlund
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.1%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
60.4% (260)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
54.0% (261)
-8.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Backlund
O'Reilly
Home
51.6% (653)
54.9% (801)
Away
49.3% (576)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Backlund
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
49.8%
56.7%
P3
51.7%
55.4%
OT
53.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |