Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 57.6% vs Strome 44.4% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 82.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 82.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
O'Reilly
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
O'Reilly
Strome
Last 6: O'Reilly 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (1,179)
43.0% (335)
+14.9%
Power Play
63.0% (292)
37.5% (8)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (320)
0.0% (1)
+53.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Strome
Home
61.3% (884)
44.5% (173)
Away
54.8% (907)
40.9% (171)
By Period
O'Reilly
Strome
P1
55.5%
43.0%
P2
61.0%
45.9%
P3
56.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |